{
  "chip": "tc",
  "chipName": "Triple Captain",
  "gw": 2,
  "season": "2026-27",
  "status": "preserve",
  "headline": "Preserve for Projected Double Gameweeks (Optimal Target: GW34 / GW37)",
  "summary": "Current round yields a +8.85 xP ceiling on Haaland vs West Ham (A). While positive, deploying here burns the chip at an estimated opportunity cost of -11.4 xP relative to historical expected value in Double Gameweek windows.",
  "projectedGainXP": 8.85,
  "historicalAverageGain": 16.4,
  "opportunityCostAssessment": "Triple Captain EV efficiency is maximized when the captain candidate plays 170+ minutes over a 2-fixture slate with home tilt. Burning against a single fixture exhibits high negative skew.",
  "solverSettings": {
    "model": "Highs-MILP-v1.7.2",
    "decayFactor": 0.85,
    "horizon": 8,
    "frozenAt": "2026-08-31T08:00:00Z",
    "snapshotHash": "sha256:7c92b7a2d488e3fa0895c32b567b489ef0c239458e0a29367d5668b02ea6f381"
  },
  "windowAnalysis": [
    {
      "gw": 1,
      "opponentContext": "Haaland vs CHE (A) [Single GW]",
      "projectedChipEV": 8.72,
      "projectedBaselineEV": 0,
      "netDelta": 8.72,
      "isRecommendedWindow": false,
      "dgwStatus": false
    },
    {
      "gw": 2,
      "opponentContext": "Haaland vs IPS (H) [Single GW - Prime Fixture]",
      "projectedChipEV": 10.45,
      "projectedBaselineEV": 0,
      "netDelta": 10.45,
      "isRecommendedWindow": false,
      "dgwStatus": false
    },
    {
      "gw": 3,
      "opponentContext": "Haaland vs WHU (A) [Single GW - Current]",
      "projectedChipEV": 8.85,
      "projectedBaselineEV": 0,
      "netDelta": 8.85,
      "isRecommendedWindow": false,
      "dgwStatus": false
    },
    {
      "gw": 25,
      "opponentContext": "Projected EFL Cup DGW Window [Prob: 42%]",
      "projectedChipEV": 15.2,
      "projectedBaselineEV": 0,
      "netDelta": 15.2,
      "isRecommendedWindow": false,
      "dgwStatus": true
    },
    {
      "gw": 34,
      "opponentContext": "FA Cup Semi-Final DGW [City / Arsenal Projected]",
      "projectedChipEV": 18.9,
      "projectedBaselineEV": 0,
      "netDelta": 18.9,
      "isRecommendedWindow": true,
      "dgwStatus": true
    },
    {
      "gw": 37,
      "opponentContext": "Penultimate Double Gameweek [Primary Target]",
      "projectedChipEV": 19.4,
      "projectedBaselineEV": 0,
      "netDelta": 19.4,
      "isRecommendedWindow": true,
      "dgwStatus": true
    }
  ],
  "optimalRosterSample": [
    {
      "id": "p_haaland_mci",
      "webName": "Haaland",
      "fullName": "Erling Haaland",
      "team": "MCI",
      "position": "FWD",
      "cost": 15.2,
      "projectedMinutes": 89,
      "expectedPoints": 8.85,
      "realisedPoints": null,
      "isCaptain": true,
      "multiplier": 3,
      "opponent": "WHU (A)",
      "isHome": false,
      "fixtureDifficulty": 3,
      "xGI": 0.98,
      "cleanSheetProbability": 0.36
    },
    {
      "id": "p_palmer_che",
      "webName": "Palmer",
      "fullName": "Cole Palmer",
      "team": "CHE",
      "position": "MID",
      "cost": 10.6,
      "projectedMinutes": 88,
      "expectedPoints": 7.82,
      "realisedPoints": null,
      "isViceCaptain": true,
      "opponent": "CRY (H)",
      "isHome": true,
      "fixtureDifficulty": 2,
      "xGI": 0.84,
      "cleanSheetProbability": 0.38
    },
    {
      "id": "p_saka_ars",
      "webName": "Saka",
      "fullName": "Bukayo Saka",
      "team": "ARS",
      "position": "MID",
      "cost": 10.1,
      "projectedMinutes": 89,
      "expectedPoints": 7.35,
      "realisedPoints": null,
      "opponent": "BHA (H)",
      "isHome": true,
      "fixtureDifficulty": 2,
      "xGI": 0.82,
      "cleanSheetProbability": 0.49
    }
  ]
}